Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.240335 0.272914 0.307784 0.347824 0.392472 0.440666 0.496566
2025-10-19 0.196768 0.240421 0.290188 0.350916 0.422798 0.504938 0.605668
2025-10-26 0.167582 0.218145 0.278999 0.357179 0.454456 0.570969 0.720497
2025-11-02 0.147711 0.203397 0.273693 0.368152 0.490854 0.643840 0.847866
2025-11-09 0.127265 0.184668 0.260406 0.366457 0.509706 0.694878 0.950442
2025-11-16 0.111031 0.169121 0.248952 0.365013 0.527425 0.744277 1.052842
2025-11-23 0.097711 0.155759 0.238615 0.363334 0.543609 0.791511 1.154126
2025-11-30 0.089217 0.148243 0.235448 0.370881 0.572399 0.856855 1.283197
2025-12-07 0.080175 0.138717 0.228144 0.371276 0.590233 0.907086 1.393044
2025-12-14 0.072372 0.130165 0.221302 0.371393 0.607059 0.956113 1.503053
2025-12-21 0.065835 0.122880 0.215608 0.372500 0.624955 1.007101 1.617952
2025-12-28 0.060946 0.117797 0.212872 0.377833 0.649368 1.068713 1.751401
2026-01-04 0.057084 0.114304 0.212780 0.388005 0.683040 1.147826 1.918295
2026-01-11 0.052552 0.109084 0.209240 0.392037 0.706878 1.212786 2.066596
2026-01-18 0.048991 0.105252 0.207724 0.399298 0.736374 1.288161 2.235121
2026-01-25 0.046493 0.103169 0.209098 0.411615 0.775055 1.380265 2.434994
2026-02-01 0.042351 0.097324 0.202970 0.409845 0.789007 1.431963 2.570835
2026-02-08 0.038681 0.091995 0.197281 0.408306 0.803028 1.484169 2.709629
2026-02-15 0.035361 0.086997 0.191731 0.406479 0.816197 1.535275 2.848583
2026-02-22 0.033443 0.084817 0.191541 0.414842 0.848406 1.620769 3.050154
2026-03-01 0.030902 0.080934 0.187513 0.415288 0.865691 1.680575 3.209424
2026-03-08 0.028569 0.077240 0.183520 0.415422 0.882234 1.739619 3.369670
2026-03-15 0.026540 0.074017 0.180217 0.416648 0.900821 1.803040 3.540231